Saturday, October 18, 2014

Trading partner of Germany

In my recent research of relationship between trade and currency. I study the effect of settlement currency on the trading volume, specifically I measure how much the uniform settlement currency will increase or decrease the trading volume. 

I come up with this graph.


I'm currently studying the trading partners of Germany only. 
DUE-CHE and DUE-GBR are the control groups.

My regression results are bit counter-intuitive and reverse to my assumptions. Can anyone make an educated guess of if a uniform settlement currency can increase or decrease trading volume on the countries?

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